The 143rd Kentucky Derby is May 6th at Churchill Downs in Kentucky and a 70% chance of rain is in the forecast. Finding a good mudder in this group of 20 is nearly impossible. We thank Mike Battaglia, the odds maker at Churchill Downs, for giving us a morning line favorite at 4-1, Classic Empire, but come race day his odds will plummet from that enticing 4-1.
Mudders with potential:
shoes RUNNING men SNEAKERS NIKE AIR MAX 97 PREMIUM blueE HERO 312834 401 2019Classic Empire (4-1): Broke his maiden on a wet surface at Churchill Downs in 2016. Veteran rider Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all of Classic Empire’s starts.
Tapwrit (20-1): Also broke his maiden over a wet surface. My concern with Tapwrit is that his head is not in the game. He’s worth at look in a superfecta at this price and on Derby Day.
ASICS Running Women's shoes LADY GEL-NIMBUS 20 Carbon TJG775 US8.5(25.5cm)SAUCONY TRIUMPH ISO 5 shoes RUNNING men 20462 36Gormley (15-1): Also has a win on a wet surface in California, but a wet surface in Southern California is very different than a wet surface in Kentucky. The only advantage for Gormley is his veteran jockey, Victor Espinoza. Gormley races well in California but the ship to Kentucky is a mystery.
Battle of Midway (30-1): Another California shipper who broke his maiden on a wet Santa Anita surface. Finished second behind Gormley in the Santa Anita Derby, has always been in the money in all of his four races. In a very scattered Derby, this horse deserves a look, especially at this price.
The Real Deals:
Classic Empire has been on my radar (and everyone else’s) New Men's Running shoes Asics GEL-NIMBUS 20 TOKYO LIMITED EDITIONsince he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He’s kind of a sassy horse. He’s been known to train when he feels like it, but certainly shows up for the race. With his veteran jockey, consistent money finishes on his resume, and can run on a wet surface, Classic Empire lands on the top of my list. Besides all that, he’s American Pharaoh’s little brother. So the pedigree is perfect.
[Asics] TJR076-0190 Tarther Japan Men Running shoes Sneakers YellowWomens Asics Gel Kayano 25 Women's Running Runners Sneakers Casual shoes - Pink
McCracken (5-1): McCracken finished third in his last race behind Practical Joke and Irap in the Bluegrass, but again, he didn’t need to win because he was already in with his win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes. Until the Bluegrass, McCracken was undefeated, and veteran jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr. has been with him from the first race.shoes ON CLOUD WATERPROOF M black LUNAR Size US 8 -
Filling out the Superfecta:
Always Dreaming (5-1): Three wins in a row for Always Dreaming since veteran jock Johnny Velazquez took over, but only one graded stakes win, the Florida Derby, which he needed to get to Churchill Downs. A veteran rider, but little graded stakes experience and no races on a wet track. However, he’s been training well at Churchill and has put in some impressive bullet works since he arrived.
ASICS Weight Lifting shoes 727 Red White Leather US10(28cm)Asics Weight Lifting shoes 727 Red w White stripe 26.5 Current Model P O F SMizuno Women's Wave Prophecy 7 WOS Running shoes 5 UK
Thunder Snow (20-1):Adidas Energy Boost M RUNNERS SHOES NEW This is the European entry. Entering the gates as a multiple graded stakes winner in Europe with extremely impressing speed figures, but has no American racing experience and has ran most of his races at sprint distances. The check mark on this horse goes to the connections and that the fields in Europe are bigger than they are here. The UAE Derby, which Thunder Snow won, had 15 entries. He will not be shy of the 20 in the gate.
State of Honor (30-1): I wanted to make this horse my superfecta filler, but he has one knock: His jockey, Jose Lezcano. Julien Leparoux has been on State of Honor for his last four races, which were stakes races, and in which State of Honor finished on the board all four times. But, Leparoux is also the jockey for Classic Empire. (What a choice?) This Mark Casse trainee gets a definite look and will be taking superfecta money come post time.
Practical Joke (20-1) was doing fine until he got into races with the other Derby contenders then he couldn’t seem to get around Gunnevera, Classic Empire or Irap. He has no wet surface races, doesn’t like the distance or the crowds.
- DONIC Baracuda Big Slam Table Tennis Rubber Sponge
- Dalbello Panterra 100 2019 29,0 Men's Ski Boots shoes Boat
- Pile Astrolabio men - Cerniera Tasche - black Azzurro - AB7U
- Nylon and PVC Cleated Bootfoot Chest Fishing Waders
- Bait casting rods alcedo hokkaido 650 h - 900 h highest quality 80% off
- Kit für Weidezaun 1000 Meter-Solaranlage für Weidezaun + Litze + Isolatoren GEMI
- Pro Roller Show Correction Bit 5 12,7cm Western Gebiss
- U-D-BC HILASON WESTERN AMERICAN LEATHER HORSE BREAST COLLAR TAN RED GLITTER INLA
- MARK TODD BREECHES EURO SEAT JUNIOR NAVY RED - 32 - TOD893688
- DEATHWISH NW SPEW 2 - 8.38 x 32
- 6mm 22mt Racing Dyneema SK78 Tapered Halyard Rope
- Seeland Hawker Scent Control Half Zip Base Layer Thin Country Hunting Shooting
- SAUCONY Laufschuh Ride 9 silver
- Shimano 17 OCEA JIGGER 1500-PG Baitcasting Reel for Jigging New
- Daiwa 17 Emeraldus Mx 2508Pe-H Only
- Stren SBSS-00250 Original Mono Bulk 2400yd Clear bluee
- Vibration For A Limited Day Approximately 4.5 cm About 11 G
- Veredus Carbon Gen Vento Open Front Boot
- U--452 TROXEL ATHLETIC LOW PROFILE MATTE FINISH HORSE RIDING HELMET CARBONITE
- Spurs - Francois Gauthier Antique Reining (Ladies)
- Toggi Ladies Positano Fleece Horse Riding Gilet - Grey - Sale